Let steps of equal length be taken along a Line. Let be the probability of taking a step to the right, the
probability of taking a step to the left, the number of steps taken to the right, and the number of steps taken to
the left. The quantities , , , , and are related by
|
(1) |
and
|
(2) |
Now examine the probability of taking exactly steps out of to the right. There are
ways of taking steps to the right and to the left, where is a Binomial Coefficient.
The probability of taking a particular ordered sequence of and steps is
. Therefore,
|
(3) |
where is a Factorial. This is a Binomial Distribution and satisfies
|
(4) |
The Mean number of steps to the right is then
|
(5) |
but
|
(6) |
so
From the Binomial Theorem,
|
(8) |
The Variance is given by
|
(9) |
But
|
(10) |
so
|
(11) |
and
Therefore,
|
(13) |
and the Root-Mean-Square deviation is
|
(14) |
For a large number of total steps , the Binomial Distribution characterizing the distribution approaches a
Gaussian Distribution.
Consider now the distribution of the distances traveled after a given number of steps,
|
(15) |
as opposed to the number of steps in a given direction. The above plots show for and three values
, , and , respectively. Clearly, weighting the steps toward one direction or the other influences the
overall trend, but there is still a great deal of random scatter, as emphasized by the plot below, which shows three random
walks all with .
Surprisingly, the most probable number of sign changes in a walk is 0, followed by 1, then 2,
etc.
For a random walk with , the probability of traveling a given distance
after steps is given in the following table.
steps |
|
|
|
|
|
0 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
0 |
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
0 |
|
|
|
|
|
2 |
|
|
|
|
0 |
|
0 |
|
|
|
|
3 |
|
|
|
0 |
|
0 |
|
0 |
|
|
|
4 |
|
|
0 |
|
0 |
|
0 |
|
0 |
|
|
5 |
|
0 |
|
0 |
|
0 |
|
0 |
|
0 |
|
In this table, subsequent rows are found by adding Half of each cell in a given row to each of the two cells
diagonally below it. In fact, it is simply Pascal's Triangle padded with intervening zeros and with each
row multiplied by an additional factor of 1/2. The Coefficients in this triangle are given by
|
(16) |
The expectation value of the distance after steps is therefore
This sum can be done symbolically by separately considering the cases Even and Odd. First,
consider Even so that . Then
But this sum can be evaluated analytically as
|
(19) |
which, when combined with and plugged back in, gives
|
(20) |
But the Legendre Duplication Formula gives
|
(21) |
so
|
(22) |
Now consider Odd, so . Then
But the Hypergeometric Function
has the special value
|
(24) |
so
|
(25) |
Summarizing the Even and Odd solutions,
|
(26) |
where
|
(27) |
Written explicitly in terms of ,
|
(28) |
The first few values of
are then
Now, examine the asymptotic behavior of
. The asymptotic expansion of the Gamma Function ratio is
|
(29) |
(Graham et al. 1994), so plugging in the expression for
gives the asymptotic series
|
(30) |
where the top signs are taken for Even and the bottom signs for Odd. Therefore, for large ,
|
(31) |
which is also shown in Mosteller et al. (1961, p. 14).
See also Binomial Distribution, Catalan Number, p-Good Path, Pólya's Random Walk
Constants, Random Walk--2-D, Random Walk--3-D, Self-Avoiding Walk
References
Chandrasekhar, S. ``Stochastic Problems in Physics and Astronomy.'' Rev. Modern Phys. 15, 1-89, 1943.
Reprinted in Noise and Stochastic Processes (Ed. N. Wax). New York: Dover, pp. 3-91, 1954.
Feller, W. Ch. 3 in An Introduction to Probability Theory and Its Applications, Vol. 1, 3rd ed., rev. printing.
New York: Wiley, 1968.
Gardner, M. Chs. 6-7 in Mathematical Carnival: A New Round-Up of Tantalizers and Puzzles from Scientific American.
New York: Vintage Books, 1977.
Graham, R. L.; Knuth, D. E.; and Patashnik, O. Answer to problem 9.60 in
Concrete Mathematics: A Foundation for Computer Science, 2nd ed. Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley, 1994.
Hersh, R. and Griego, R. J. ``Brownian Motion and Potential Theory.'' Sci. Amer. 220, 67-74, 1969.
Kac, M. ``Random Walk and the Theory of Brownian Motion.'' Amer. Math. Monthly 54, 369-391, 1947.
Reprinted in Noise and Stochastic Processes (Ed. N. Wax). New York: Dover, pp. 295-317,
1954.
Mosteller, F.; Rourke, R. E. K.; and Thomas, G. B. Probability and Statistics.
Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley, 1961.
© 1996-9 Eric W. Weisstein
1999-05-25